Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks

Prediction of Zarrinehrud River Run-Off in the Climate Change Condition using Artificial Neural Networks

   In the present research, the climate change effect on variation of surface runoff of Zarrinehrud located in the Miandoab plain was investigated. In this direction, the scenarios including A1B, A2 and B1 via LARS-WG downscaling model and with applying the HadCM3 general circulation model and artificial neural network model in two different periods (2046-2065, 2080 -2099) were studied. For thi...

rodbar dam slope stability analysis using neural networks

در این تحقیق شبکه عصبی مصنوعی برای پیش بینی مقادیر ضریب اطمینان و فاکتور ایمنی بحرانی سدهای خاکی ناهمگن ضمن در نظر گرفتن تاثیر نیروی اینرسی زلزله ارائه شده است. ورودی های مدل شامل ارتفاع سد و زاویه شیب بالا دست، ضریب زلزله، ارتفاع آب، پارامترهای مقاومتی هسته و پوسته و خروجی های آن شامل ضریب اطمینان می شود. مهمترین پارامتر مورد نظر در تحلیل پایداری شیب، بدست آوردن فاکتور ایمنی است. در این تحقیق ...

Conditional Probabilistic Population Projections: An Application to Climate Change

Probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia

We present probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia using the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Integrated Global System Model (IGSM), an integrated assessment model that couples an Earth system model of intermediate complexity with a two-dimensional zonal-mean atmosphere to a human activity model. Regional climate change is obtained by two downsc...

Probabilistic projections of climate change over China under the SRES A1B scenario using 28 AOGCMs

Probabilistic projection of climate change consists of formulating the climate change information in a probabilistic manner at either global or regional scale. This can produce useful results for studies of the impact of climate change impact and change mitigation. In the present study, a simple yet effective approach is proposed with the purpose of producing probabilistic results of climate ch...